Pre-registered
picks.
One post for every game that clears the pre-registered PRIME filter, published before kickoff and graded after. This is a forward test of a signal whose corrected backtest is break-even or below, not a claim of edge. Every post carries only the leak-free figures and links the correction. Each pick is also committed to the public record before kickoff.
Pre-registrationCorrectionLive trackingPublic record
NFL Week 7: Buccaneers vs Panthers — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Panthers (-6.7-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 7: Bengals vs Ravens — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Ravens (-6.1-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 7: Chiefs vs Seahawks — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Chiefs (+7.5-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 7: Rams vs Raiders — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Rams (+6.6-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 7: Patriots vs Bears — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Patriots (+6.3-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 6: Commanders vs 49ers — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on 49ers (-6.5-pt edge vs market). Corrected 2026-10-17: see the note in the post.
Read →NFL Week 6: Ravens vs Browns — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Ravens (+6.5-pt edge vs market). Corrected 2026-10-17: see the note in the post.
Read →NFL Week 6: Panthers vs Eagles — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Panthers (+6.4-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 6: Chargers vs Chiefs — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Chiefs (-6.5-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 6: Bears vs Falcons — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Falcons (-7.6-pt edge vs market). Corrected 2026-10-17: see the note in the post.
Read →NFL Week 4: Jaguars vs Bengals — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Jaguars (+7.7-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 3: Raiders vs Saints — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+7.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Eagles vs Bears — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+17.7-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Chiefs vs Dolphins — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+14.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Jets vs Lions — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.9-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Chargers vs Bills — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+7.4-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Ravens vs Cowboys — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+11.8-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Cardinals vs 49ers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+9.5-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Seahawks vs Commanders — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+13.9-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Bengals vs Steelers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.7-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Titans vs Giants — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+9.5-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Texans vs Colts — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+14.7-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 3: Panthers vs Browns — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.9-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Bengals vs Texans — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+7.6-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Giants vs Rams — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+11.6-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Dolphins vs 49ers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+9.1-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Commanders vs Cowboys — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+18.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Seahawks vs Cardinals — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.6-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Packers vs Jets — Model Analysis
PRIME spread signal on Packers (+6.7-pt edge vs market).
Read →NFL Week 2: Steelers vs Patriots — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+7.9-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 2: Lions vs Bills — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.5-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Falcons vs Steelers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+7.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Cowboys vs Giants — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+19.1-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Cardinals vs Chargers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+8.2-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Jets vs Titans — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+9.6-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Bills vs Texans — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+11.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: Bears vs Panthers — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+10.3-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →NFL Week 1: 49ers vs Rams — Model Analysis
PRIME_TOT signal over (+9.0-pt edge; tier retired 2026-09-24, pick stands for the record).
Read →