Noche UFC recap: Silva vs. Delgado

The model called Edgar Chairez to win at 64.5% confidence. Tim Elliott won by unanimous decision. That’s the headline.

Right: David Martinez (77.0%), Yousri Belgaroui (76.1%), Brandon Moreno (71.1%), Ignacio Bahamondes (67.5%). Wrong: Rafa Garcia (62.6%), Manon Fiorot (62.5%), Waldo Cortes Acosta (53.5%), Marwan Rahiki (50.8%).

Full per-pick breakdown with the model’s projected win probability and the graded outcome on each fight: https://victory-ar.com/research/picks/noche-ufc-silva-vs-delgado

We do not publish single-card win rates as headline marketing. Small samples are the failure mode HVP was written to filter. The aggregate that matters lives on the leaderboard, audited quarterly.