UFC Fight Night recap: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker

The model called Mantas Kondratavicius to win at 72.6% confidence. Andre Petroski won by KO/TKO. That’s the headline.

Right: Elijah Smith (85.4%), Seokhyeon Ko (79.6%), Jose Henrique (70.8%), Murtazali Magomedov (59.0%). Wrong: Virna Jandiroba (57.8%), Carlos Calderon (53.1%), Waldo Cortes Acosta (51.1%).

Full per-pick breakdown with the model’s projected win probability and the graded outcome on each fight: https://victory-ar.com/research/picks/ufc-fight-night-cortes-acosta-vs-walker

We do not publish single-card win rates as headline marketing. Small samples are the failure mode HVP was written to filter. The aggregate that matters lives on the leaderboard, audited quarterly.