UFC 333 recap: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

The model called Movsar Evloev to win at 60.8% confidence. Alexander Volkanovski won by KO/TKO. That’s the headline.

Right: Iasmin Lucindo (78.0%), Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (70.8%), Grant Dawson (67.7%), Lone’er Kavanagh (66.9%). Wrong: Merab Dvalishvili (57.4%).

Full per-pick breakdown with the model’s projected win probability and the graded outcome on each fight: https://victory-ar.com/research/picks/ufc-333-volkanovski-vs-evloev

We do not publish single-card win rates as headline marketing. Small samples are the failure mode HVP was written to filter. The aggregate that matters lives on the leaderboard, audited quarterly.