UFC 331 recap: Van vs. Pantoja 2

The model called Charles Jourdain to win at 71.4% confidence. Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO. That’s the headline.

Right: Arman Tsarukyan (87.8%), Joshua Van (81.2%), Edmen Shahbazyan (75.9%), Ryan Gandra (74.8%). Wrong: Dooho Choi (69.5%), JooSang Yoo (66.2%), Gable Steveson (66.0%), Iwo Baraniewski (64.7%), Giga Chikadze (54.5%), Eduarda Moura (52.4%).

Full per-pick breakdown with the model’s projected win probability and the graded outcome on each fight: https://victory-ar.com/research/picks/ufc-331-van-vs-pantoja-2

We do not publish single-card win rates as headline marketing. Small samples are the failure mode HVP was written to filter. The aggregate that matters lives on the leaderboard, audited quarterly.