UFC Fight Night recap: Du Plessis vs. Usman

The model called Levi Rodrigues Jr. to win at 64.7% confidence. Felipe Franco won by KO/TKO. That’s the headline.

Right: Chase Hooper (80.1%), Alden Coria (77.5%), Christian Leroy Duncan (77.2%), Tommy McMillen (69.9%). Wrong: Seokhyeon Ko (58.1%). Pending: 4 fights still ungraded.

Full per-pick breakdown with the model’s projected win probability and the graded outcome on each fight: https://victory-ar.com/research/picks/ufc-fight-night-du-plessis-vs-usman

We do not publish single-card win rates as headline marketing. Small samples are the failure mode HVP was written to filter. The aggregate that matters lives on the leaderboard, audited quarterly.